{"id":867,"date":"2010-05-19T10:00:41","date_gmt":"2010-05-19T10:00:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/?p=867"},"modified":"2014-07-16T20:08:31","modified_gmt":"2014-07-16T20:08:31","slug":"billion-strong-russia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/billion-strong-russia\/","title":{"rendered":"Billion-Strong Russia"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The kind of stuff one can find on Internet without even trying never ceases to amaze me. For example, today I started off at Lenta.ru and drifted over to the brand-new <strong>\u00ab<\/strong><strong>\u043f\u0440\u0435\u0437\u0438\u0434<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0435<\/span>\u043d\u0442.<\/strong><strong>\u0440\u0444\u00bb<\/strong> site, located on one of the first <strong>\u00ab<\/strong><strong>\u043d\u0435\u043b\u0430\u0442<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0438<\/span>\u043d\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 <\/strong><strong>\u0434\u043e\u043c<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0435<\/span>\u043d\u00bb<\/strong> [domain that does not use Roman alphabet].<\/p>\n<p>While at <a href=\"http:\/\/www.\u043f\u0440\u0435\u0437\u0438\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0442.\u0440\u0444\/\">\u043f\u0440\u0435\u0437\u0438\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0442.\u0440\u0444<\/a>, I discovered that in addition to some other incentives aimed at reversing existing demographic decline, started to award a <a href=\"http:\/\/news.kremlin.ru\/news\/4254\">medal \u00ab<strong>\u0420\u043e\u0434\u0438\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0441\u043a\u0430\u044f <\/strong><strong>\u0421\u043b\u0430\u0432\u0430<\/strong>\u00bb<\/a> [Glory of Parenthood] to families with 4 or more children.<\/p>\n<p>I\u2019m not sure how you feel about the idea of an award like this, but I personally feel that a shiny medal, a lapel pin, a framed diploma and a small financial contribution of about USD 1,700 aren\u2019t going to be sufficient in solving <strong>\u00ab<\/strong><strong>\u0434\u0435\u043c\u043e\u0433\u0440\u0430\u0444<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0438<\/span>\u0447\u0435\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 <\/strong><strong>\u043a\u0440<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0438<\/span>\u0437\u0438\u0441\u00bb<\/strong> [the demographic crisis]. I mean, I just can\u2019t imagine a wife agreeing to have another child or two just for a chance to wear a lapel pin to the next <strong>\u00ab<\/strong><strong>\u0440\u043e\u0434<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0438<\/span>\u0442\u0435\u043b\u044c\u0441\u043a\u043e\u0435 <\/strong><strong>\u0441\u043e\u0431\u0440<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0430<\/span>\u043d\u0438\u0435\u00bb<\/strong> [parent-teacher conference].<\/p>\n<p>Of course, Russian government doesn\u2019t stop at the medal. It has been steadily introducing new incentives and programs, but the outlook is still grim. Sources, unidentified in the Russian <a href=\"http:\/\/ru.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%D0%94%D0%B5%D0%BC%D0%BE%D0%B3%D1%80%D0%B0%D1%84%D0%B8%D1%87%D0%B5%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%B0%D1%8F_%D1%81%D0%B8%D1%82%D1%83%D0%B0%D1%86%D0%B8%D1%8F_%D0%B2_%D0%A0%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%B9%D1%81%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B9_%D0%A4%D0%B5%D0%B4%25\">Wikipedia article<\/a>, estimate that Russian population will decline to between 98 and 115 million by 2050.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian?s=Zhirinovsky\">The most entertaining<\/a> of Russian politicians came up with a slew of exiting and unorthodox solutions, including preventing abortions by offering women a substantial financial reward in exchange for her yet-unborn children; legalizing polygamy as long as all marriages produce children; creating government-sponsored dating sites, singles cultural events and\u2026 sperm banks; and bringing orphans from world\u2019s hot spots to be raised in Russia<\/p>\n<p>Others came up with the idea of paying parents <strong>\u00ab<\/strong><strong>\u0437\u0430\u0440\u043f\u043b<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0430<\/span>\u0442\u0443 <\/strong><strong>\u0437\u0430 <\/strong><strong>\u0432\u043e\u0441\u043f\u0438\u0442<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0430<\/span>\u043d\u0438\u0435 <\/strong><strong>\u0434\u0435\u0442<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0435<\/span>\u0439\u00bb<\/strong> [a salary for raising children]. I couldn\u2019t find any official sources, but such proposition strikes me as sensible and moderate, especially in view of what you\u2019ve read above and what you\u2019re about to read below.<\/p>\n<p>Imagine my excitement when I came across a <a href=\"http:\/\/akparov.ru\/rojdaemost\">draft proposal<\/a> from <strong>\u00ab<\/strong><strong>\u041c\u0438\u043b\u043b\u0438<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0430<\/span>\u0440\u0434\u043d\u0430\u044f <\/strong><strong>\u0420\u043e\u0441\u0441<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0438<\/span>\u044f\u00bb<\/strong> [Billion-Strong Russia]. The envisioned solution is more than a simple \u201cpopulation booster\u201d. It is a magic pill that will solve a host of society\u2019s worst problems, including single parents, unwed mothers, abandoned children, tax evasion, overcrowded prisons, and emigration. The piece de resistance is a complete solution of the retirement age problem; not only it will not have to be raised, but it can be reduced.<\/p>\n<p>The key, apparently, is in a swiping <strong>\u00ab<\/strong><strong>\u043f\u0435\u043d\u0441\u0438<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u043e<\/span>\u043d\u043d\u0430\u044f <\/strong><strong>\u0440\u0435\u0444<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u043e<\/span>\u0440\u043c\u0430\u00bb<\/strong> [reform of retirement pay structure]. The way it works right now is employers pay part of payroll into the Federal Pension Fund for subsequent distribution to retirees.<\/p>\n<p>Under the proposed system, this money will go from employers directly into their employees\u2019 parents\u2019 retirement savings accounts. The incentive to have more children is straightforward. After all, if Masha has 10 adult-age working children and Lena &#8211; just 1, guess who\u2019s going to be living it large in the retirement?<\/p>\n<p>Since this system would apply to both biological and adopted children, it will create an \u201cadoption fever\u201d that <strong>\u00ab<\/strong><strong>\u043f\u0440\u0438\u0432\u0435\u0434<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0435<\/span>\u0442 <\/strong><strong>\u043a <\/strong><strong>\u043e\u043f\u0443\u0441\u0442<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0435<\/span>\u043d\u0438\u044e <\/strong><strong>\u0434<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0435<\/span>\u0442\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0445 <\/strong><strong>\u0434\u043e\u043c<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u043e<\/span>\u0432\u00bb<\/strong> [will leave orphanages empty].<\/p>\n<p>Single mothers, especially with more than one child, will be transformed from unmarriageable to <strong>\u00ab<\/strong><strong>\u0437\u0430\u0432<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0438<\/span>\u0434\u043d\u044b\u0435 <\/strong><strong>\u043d\u0435\u0432<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0435<\/span>\u0441\u0442\u044b\u00bb<\/strong> [desirable brides].<\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00ab<\/strong><strong>\u0427<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0435<\/span>\u0440\u043d\u044b\u0439 <\/strong><strong>\u043d\u0430\u043b\u00bb<\/strong> [invisible and un-taxable cash] will disappear as \u201cfor cash\u201d working arrangements will not contribute to parental retirement savings and <strong>\u00ab<\/strong><strong>\u0440\u043e\u0434<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0438<\/span>\u0442\u0435\u043b\u0438 <\/strong><strong>\u043d\u0430\u0439\u0434<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0443<\/span>\u0442 <\/strong><strong>\u0441\u043f<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u043e<\/span>\u0441\u043e\u0431 <\/strong><strong>\u0432\u043e\u0437\u0434<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0435<\/span>\u0439\u0441\u0442\u0432\u043e\u0432\u0430\u0442\u044c <\/strong><strong>\u043d\u0430 <\/strong><strong>\u0441\u0432\u043e\u0435\u0433<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u043e<\/span> <\/strong><strong>\u0440\u0435\u0431<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0435<\/span>\u043d\u043a\u0430, <\/strong><strong>\u0447\u0442<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u043e<\/span>\u0431\u044b <\/strong><strong>\u043e\u043d <\/strong><strong>\u0432\u044b\u0431\u0438\u0440<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0430<\/span>\u043b <\/strong><strong>\u043a\u043e\u043c\u043f<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0430<\/span>\u043d\u0438\u0438, <\/strong><strong>\u043a\u043e\u0442<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u043e<\/span>\u0440\u044b\u0435 <\/strong><strong>\u043f\u043b<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0430<\/span>\u0442\u044f\u0442 <\/strong><strong>\u043d\u0430\u043b<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u043e<\/span>\u0433\u0438\u00bb <\/strong>[parents will find a way to influence their child to choose a work place that pays taxes].<\/p>\n<p>Raising <strong>\u00ab<\/strong><strong>\u0437\u0430\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043f\u043e\u0441\u043b<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0443<\/span>\u0448\u043d\u044b\u0439\u00bb<\/strong> [law-abiding] and <strong>\u00ab<\/strong><strong>\u043f\u0430\u0442\u0440\u0438\u043e\u0442<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0438<\/span>\u0447\u043d\u044b\u0439\u00bb<\/strong> [patriotic] children will become economically attractive for parents since they would get nothing from a child ending up in prison or emigrating.<\/p>\n<p>And if parents don\u2019t want to wait 20-25 years for their little one to start contributing (in view of the dismal life expectancy of an average Russian), they can start drawing out the funds as soon as the child is born, turning their newborn into a kind of a human credit card. No repayment of borrowed funds by parents is necessary as long as they forgo their share of the child\u2019s future earnings (which, in this case, will go straight to the government to pay off the parents\u2019 debt).<\/p>\n<p>Accordingly to the author\u2019s back-of-the-envelope estimates, Russia will, in no time, regain positive demographic momentum and population density even in the remotest reaches of Siberia will be on par with the European Russia.<\/p>\n<p>Personally, I think that compared to this <strong>\u00ab<\/strong><strong>\u043f\u0440\u043e<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">\u0435<\/span>\u043a\u0442\u00bb<\/strong> [draft], state-sponsored dating sites and sperm banks start to look like a darn good solution. What do you think?<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<img width=\"350\" height=\"231\" src=\"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2010\/05\/VzroslieStidno-350x231.jpg\" class=\"attachment-post-thumbnail size-post-thumbnail wp-post-image\" alt=\"\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" srcset=\"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2010\/05\/VzroslieStidno-350x231.jpg 350w, https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2010\/05\/VzroslieStidno.jpg 542w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 350px) 100vw, 350px\" \/><p>The kind of stuff one can find on Internet without even trying never ceases to amaze me. For example, today I started off at Lenta.ru and drifted over to the brand-new \u00ab\u043f\u0440\u0435\u0437\u0438\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0442.\u0440\u0444\u00bb site, located on one of the first \u00ab\u043d\u0435\u043b\u0430\u0442\u0438\u043d\u0441\u043a\u0438\u0439 \u0434\u043e\u043c\u0435\u043d\u00bb [domain that does not use Roman alphabet]. While at \u043f\u0440\u0435\u0437\u0438\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0442.\u0440\u0444, I discovered that&hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"post-item__readmore\"><a class=\"btn btn--md\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/billion-strong-russia\/\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":39,"featured_media":869,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":""},"categories":[179,7827],"tags":[8891,8889,8890,1264],"class_list":["post-867","post","type-post","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news","category-russian-life","tag-population-growth-in-russia","tag-russian-children","tag-russian-demographic-crisis","tag-russian-politics"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/867","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/39"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=867"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/867\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":6162,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/867\/revisions\/6162"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/869"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=867"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=867"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/russian\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=867"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}