{"id":1759,"date":"2010-09-07T21:02:09","date_gmt":"2010-09-07T21:02:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/spanish\/?p=1759"},"modified":"2018-08-07T11:10:28","modified_gmt":"2018-08-07T15:10:28","slug":"cabanuelas-ancestral-weather-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/spanish\/cabanuelas-ancestral-weather-forecast\/","title":{"rendered":"Las Caba\u00f1uelas, or an ancestral weather forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Who hasn\u2019t checked the weather on TV before going on a trip or when planning a vacation? Well, in Spain we have more accurate way than just listening to a weather person, and that is to follow the Caba\u00f1uelas. This weird term refers to an ancient method of predicting weather. Used by our grandparents, simple country folk, has gained recognition in recent years. Even professional meteorologists certify the high level of accuracy in these readings of the environment, which ranges between 70-80 %.<br \/>\nThe origin of this practice is uncertain; some researchers date it as far back as prehistoric times, and then developed by Mesopotamic, Egyptian, Aztec, Mayan, Greek, and Arabic civilizations. The method of prediction is based on the observation of nature and the atmospheric phenomena, including clouds, winds, and even animals, to draw up a calendar. This was very much needed for mankind centuries ago, if we take into account the fact that climate was essential to choose the right place for a settlement, or to save harvests from storms, floods, o lack of rainfall. It was a form of survival.<br \/>\nEven though there are different types of caba\u00f1uelas, all of them focus on the month of august in order to predict the weather for the following year. The experts in caba\u00f1uelas pay attention to the days between the 1st and the 12th, corresponding to each month of the following year, starting from January and, after the 13th, according to the returning caba\u00f1uelas, in reverse order: the 13th is for December, and so on. Complicated? Maybe, but even more amazing is the fact that they are right! So I\u2019ll leave you with some of the predictions for the year 2011, just in case you are planning a trip to my region\u2026<br \/>\nIf anyone wants to enjoy Easter, you\u2019ll have to bear in mind that there will be \u201coverall storms and heavy rainfall during the first few days, while the rest of the week might be affected by some showers\u201d, just like the April Feria, in Seville. Tough luck!<br \/>\nOn the other hand, May and June will be \u201cuncommon, with cases of storms, rainfall, and hail, except for the coast, which will be affected by clouds\u201d. Moreover, \u201cthe months of July and August will start with cloudy skies in the morning, July will be rough with inland rainfall, but ending with sticky, humid heat that will be prolonged until August with plenty of heat waves\u201d. We\u2019ll see if that\u2019s the case.<br \/>\nFor the rest of this year, if the predictions from last year are true, we can expect snow very soon. Skiers will be happy, for sure.<br \/>\nFor the time being, I leave you with my weather forecast: see you in the next post!<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.flickr.com\/photos\/gainan\/422170794\/\">by gainan<br \/>\n<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u00bfQui\u00e9n no ha puesto la tele para ver c\u00f3mo ser\u00e1 el tiempo antes de salir de viaje? \u00bfO cuando planificamos las vacaciones? Pues en Espa\u00f1a existe un m\u00e9todo mucho m\u00e1s fiable que o\u00edr al hombre del tiempo, y es seguir las Caba\u00f1uelas. Este extra\u00f1o nombre es el que recibe un m\u00e9todo ancestral para predecir el tiempo. Usado por nuestros abuelos, gente sencilla de campo, ha alcanzado bastante prestigio con el paso de los a\u00f1os. Incluso los meteor\u00f3logos profesionales corroboran el gran margen de acierto en estas lecturas de la naturaleza, entre un 70 y un 80%.<br \/>\nEl origen de esta pr\u00e1ctica no es muy cierto, algunos investigadores lo remontan hasta la prehistoria, siendo mejorada por los mesopot\u00e1micos, egipcios, aztecas, mayas, griegos, \u00e1rabes, etc. Su m\u00e9todo de predicci\u00f3n se basa en observar la naturaleza y los fen\u00f3menos atmosf\u00e9ricos, las nubes, los vientos, e incluso los animales, para establecer un calendario. Algo muy necesario para el hombre hace siglos, si tenemos en cuenta que depend\u00eda de c\u00f3mo respondiese el clima para elegir asentamientos, o que su cosecha no se perdiese a causa de tormentas, inundaciones, o falta de lluvia. Era una forma de supervivencia.<br \/>\nAunque hay varios tipos de caba\u00f1uelas, a grandes rasgos todas se centran en el mes de agosto para predecir el tiempo que habr\u00e1 el a\u00f1o pr\u00f3ximo. Los expertos caba\u00f1uelistas observan los d\u00edas del 1 al 12, que corresponder\u00e1n con cada uno de los meses del a\u00f1o siguiente, comenzando por enero, y a partir del trece, seg\u00fan las caba\u00f1uelas de retorno, en sentido inverso: el 13 corresponder\u00e1 a diciembre, y as\u00ed sucesivamente. \u00bfComplicado? Quiz\u00e1 lo sea un poco, \u00a1pero a\u00fan m\u00e1s asombroso es saber que aciertan! As\u00ed que os dejo con algunas de las predicciones para este 2.011, por si alguien tiene previsto visitar mi tierra\u2026<br \/>\nSi alguien quiere disfrutar de la Semana Santa, deber\u00e1 tener en cuenta que \u201cse registrar\u00e1n tormentas y lluvias generalizadas en sus primeros d\u00edas, mientras que el resto de semana se ver\u00e1 amenazado por alg\u00fan chubasco&#8221;, al igual que la Feria de Abril. \u00a1Mala suerte!<br \/>\nPor otra parte, mayo y junio ser\u00e1n &#8220;at\u00edpicos con tormentas, lluvias y alguna granizada, pron\u00f3sticos de los que se salvar\u00e1 la costa, donde s\u00ed habr\u00e1 nublados&#8221;. Mientras, &#8220;los meses de julio y agosto empezar\u00e1n con nubes por las ma\u00f1anas, julio ser\u00e1 revoltoso con lluvias en el interior, pero al final de este mes comenzar\u00e1 el calor pegajoso que se prolongar\u00e1 en agosto con muchas olas de calor\u201d. Tomaremos nota para ver si se cumple.<br \/>\nPara lo que nos queda de este a\u00f1o, solo comentar, que si este tradicional m\u00e9todo contin\u00faa sin fallar, tendremos nieve muy pronto. Esto ser\u00e1 agradecido por los esquiadores, sin duda.<\/p>\n<p>Y sin m\u00e1s, me marcho con mi pron\u00f3stico del tiempo: \u00a1hasta el siguiente post!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Who hasn\u2019t checked the weather on TV before going on a trip or when planning a vacation? Well, in Spain we have more accurate way than just listening to a weather person, and that is to follow the Caba\u00f1uelas. This weird term refers to an ancient method of predicting weather. Used by our grandparents, simple&hellip;<\/p>\n<p class=\"post-item__readmore\"><a class=\"btn btn--md\" href=\"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/spanish\/cabanuelas-ancestral-weather-forecast\/\">Continue Reading<\/a><\/p>","protected":false},"author":47,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"content-type":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[358366,142,169],"class_list":["post-1759","post","type-post","status-publish","hentry","category-culture","tag-holidays","tag-spain","tag-weather"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/spanish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1759","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/spanish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/spanish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/spanish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/47"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/spanish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1759"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/spanish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1759\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":11858,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/spanish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1759\/revisions\/11858"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/spanish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/spanish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.transparent.com\/spanish\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}